Blackburn v Liverpool (Sky)

Tonight's game see two sides in poor from, for Blackburn 3 points are of vital importance, since the League cup success Liverpool season has gone down hill league wise and with a F.A.Cup semi final next weekend my instincts are favouring Blackburn. I can see both sides scoring with Suarez a potent force up front against a leaky defence. For Blackburn Yakabu is the man in form.
Prediction
Back 1-0, 1-1 & Over 2.5 (Returns 40%)

Boring

Well its been a long time since I last posted, cheesed off by not making 3% a day. So what am I doing now? A mixture of Trading, betting and some paper testing various systems. My main money source is Lay the Draw (LTD), so with it being close season in most major leagues in Europe its quiet and not many games being traded. Their  are a few services on the market, each has a slightly different approach to LTD. Mr Betfair, FTS, Exchange Traders and Matt Abrahams are a few, Some will charge a one of fee and at least one charges a monthly fee, so if you are interested give them a google and do some research. I do use one the above services, but out of respect I will not give away any details.
I mentioned paper trading, quite a few on the go, cricket, trading horses in play, football value bets and laying horse racing naps.
So a brief update, maybe a bit more info on some paper trading next time.

Trading update 19 April 2011

OK, all good runs come to an end, lost the bank on Sunday evening trading Espanyol game, caught scalping with  1st goal, then went chasing losses by scalping, got losses down to -£4, then lost it all just before half time when another goal went in.
So from this scalping trial we can see scalping alone on unders & overs will not produce a profit in the long run, what you can use scalping for, is free bets on various markets when used with other strategies, at this stage i will not go into those, as it is quite long winded to explain. If you want to explore that avenue, try Bet72 site and seek out Betnotes, for a one payment you can secure the details.
OK, so the next system I want to take a look at is Lay The Draw (LTD), see upcoming posts for more information.

Trading Update 16 April 2011

Man Utd v Man City Under/Overs 1.5 Goals market
Profit £1.18
New Bank £34.56
Stakes for next trade £34

14 April 2011 Trading Update

Traded Braga v D.Kiev 1.5 Goals market.
£1.19 profit
New bank £33.38
Stakes for next game £33.

Trading Update 13 April 2011

Traded Spurs v Real Madrid.
Quick in and out within 10 minutes for a profit of £1.10
New Bank £32.19
Stakes for next game £32

11 April 2011 Trading Update

Liverpool v Man City £1.20
Match started at a frantic pace coupled with an early goal meant it was hard going. Started on 1.5 Goals market then switched to 2.5 Goals market after Liverpool goal. I had to wait a few minutes for the 2.5 Goals market to settle after goal, lots of money being traded on this market, in excess of a million.
One way of scalping 1.5 market differently is not to hedge your green as you scalp, wait for say 15-20 minute mark then hedge for profit, downside is a early goal will decimate profit, you will not loose anything but you will have to start again. You could base your decision on stats or get a feeling wether goals will come early as you watch the match.
New Bank £31.29
Stakes for next trade £31.